Expect above-average temperatures in New York, but precipitation will be average, according to NOAA predictions for 24/25.
U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer and drier South, wetter North. A slowly-developing La Nina is favored to influence conditions for the upcoming winter across most of the country, according to NOAA’s U.S. Winter Outlook released today by the Climate Prediction Center — a division of NOAA’s National Weather Service. This outlook is for December 2024 through February 2025 and contains information on likely conditions throughout the country for temperature, precipitation and drought.
This winter, NOAA predicts wetter-than-average conditions for the entire northern tier of the continental U.S., particularly in the Pacific Northwest and the Great Lakes region, along with northern and western Alaska. Meanwhile, drier-than-average conditions are expected from the Four Corners region of the Southwest to the Southeast, Gulf Coast and lower mid-Atlantic states.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its 2024-25 winter outlook, highlighting a “slowly-developing” La Niña that could shape weather throughout the country from December through February.
“This winter, an emerging La Niña is anticipated to influence the upcoming winter patterns, especially our precipitation predictions,” Jon Gottschalck, chief of the Operational Prediction Branch of the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
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In New York, temperatures are likely to be warmer than normal between December 2024 and February 2025, according to the NOAA predictions. The NOAA estimates there’s a 40-50% chance temperatures will be above average lower in the state, with less certainty up state. Precipitation is projected to be normal, and drought is unlikely.