Online polling is power to the people

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Polls can be inaccurate and all include a margin of error. We must also keep in mind that polling organizations that track elections do not always identify the wave that leads to strong majorities in voter turnouts.

What is the future for election polling? There isn’t a clear answer that includes a sure fire solution. The present system is broken and no one has yet figured out how to fix it. Political polling has progressively gotten less accurate as a result, and it’s not going to be repaired in time for the 2016 VOTE.

Predicting Hurricanes

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The​ ​three-year anniversary of Hurricane Sandy will be next week. SUNY Professor and Marine biologist Chris Gobler talks about the current impact due to the 2012 storm; the environment, and marine life in that area; and what Americans can expect for the future.

According to published reports, Sandy caused $62 billion in damages to the US and at least $315 million in the Caribbean. Its the nation’s most expensive storm since Hurricane Katrina, which caused $128 billion.
New York was most severely impacted due to damage to subways and roadway tunnels.

POWERFUL PATRICIA

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The hurricane barreling toward Mexico's Pacific Coast is the strongest ever measured, according to forecasters.

Hurricane Patricia is hours away from making landfall in Mexico, was sustaining maximum winds of 200 mph, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's said.

The NOAA warned that the monster Category 5 storm, the most powerful ever recorded in the northeastern Pacific Ocean, could be catastrophic for millions of people living in its path.

Mexican officials declared a state of emergency in dozens of municipalities in the area.

NYPD BLUE

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New York City is blue after another tragic and senseless cop is murdered in The Big Apple. This is the fourth time a police officer has been killed here in the last 11 months.

NYPD officer shot in head, killed during gunbattle http://usat.ly/1LK2MlF

NYPD officer shot and killed while on duty in East Harlem at E. 120th Street and FDR Drive, suspect in custody http://abc7ny.com/1043075/

Now playing at a theater near you

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Saving the best for last, this Fall film release season was anticipated by industry toppers because epic movies are saved for the end of the year, therefore the holidays and their most prestigious of all seasons - The Oscars.

It'll be hard to escape the deluge of films released over the next few months, but we've got a long way to go 'til December, and plenty of notable films to check out until then.

Oscars 2016: 10 early predictions for this year’s Best Picture nominations http://go.dspy.me/sHpl

​The New Season: Movies http://www.cbsnews.com/news/the-new-season-movies via @cbsnews

Fall 2015 movie guide: the 34 films on our radar this awards season http://www.theverge.com/2015/9/14/9248779/best-fall-movies-2015-oscars-…?

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS http://www.awardscircuit.com/oscar-predictions/

The Big Autum Chill

If you're in the NYC area, before you prepare yourself to go outdoors, be aware of the first seasonal The Big Chill.

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NY...NORTHEASTERN NJ AND
SOUTHERN CT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY

TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
MONDAY AS A STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
SOUTHEAST...PASSING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON MONDAY.

TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RISE FROM THE 20S AND 30S THIS
MORNING INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S THIS AFTERNOON. UNDER CLEAR
SKIES...EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...WITH
THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN
THE MID 30S IN NEW YORK CITY.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE PASSES ACROSS THE AREA.

MONDAY WILL BRING THE START OF A WARMING TREND AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHWEST AROUND THE HIGH TO OUR SOUTH.

The Big Chill Soundtrack
https://youtu.be/Oy625sZAHN8?list=PLTbM4s2Vnewnmd-ft9Rir-hVo8FzseyZ8

Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued the U.S. Winter Outlook today favoring cooler and wetter weather in Southern Tier states with above-average temperatures most likely in the West and across the Northern Tier. This year’s El Niño, among the strongest on record, is expected to influence weather and climate patterns this winter by impacting the position of the Pacific jet stream.

“A strong El Niño is in place and should exert a strong influence over our weather this winter,” said Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “While temperature and precipitation impacts associated with El Niño are favored, El Niño is not the only player. Cold-air outbreaks and snow storms will likely occur at times this winter. However, the frequency, number and intensity of these events cannot be predicted on a seasonal timescale.”

Precipitation.
Precipitation - U.S. Winter Outlook: 2015-2016
(Credit: NOAA)
Other factors that often play a role in the winter weather include the Arctic Oscillation, which influences the number of arctic air masses that penetrate into the South and nor'easters on the East Coast, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation, which can impact the number of heavy rain storms in the Pacific Northwest.

The 2015 U.S. Winter Outlook (December through February):

Precipitation Outlook:

Wetter-than-average conditions most likely in the Southern Tier of the United States, from central and southern California, across Texas, to Florida, and up the East Coast to southern New England. Above-average precipitation is also favored in southeastern Alaska.

Drier-than-average conditions most likely for Hawaii, central and western Alaska, parts of the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, and for areas near the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.

Temperature Outlook:

Above-average temperatures are favored across much of the West and the northern half of the contiguous United States. Temperatures are also favored to be above-average in Alaska and much of Hawaii. Below-average temperatures are most likely in the southern Plains and Southeast.

Drought Outlook:

The U.S. Drought Outlook shows some improvement is likely in central and southern California by the end of January, but not drought removal. Additional statewide relief is possible during February and March. Drought removal is likely across large parts of the Southwest, while improvement or removal is also likely in the southern Plains. However, drought is likely to persist in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, with drought development likely in Hawaii, parts of the northern Plains and in the northern Great Lakes region.

While it is good news that drought improvement is predicted for California, one season of above-average rain and snow is unlikely to remove four years of drought,” said Halpert. “California would need close to twice its normal rainfall to get out of drought and that's unlikely.”

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Dump Trump Again

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NBC is once again strongly being urged to dump Donald Trump. This time from a planned Saturday Night Live program. Many are wondering why give publicity to a someone who spews division and negative energy?

Unfortunately, NBC has the dubious record of propping up media hound dogs, which turn out to be less than upstanding American role models. We wonder if NBC will pay attention to Latinos because we do not recall many Hispanic celebrities launching their careers on SNL. We all know that actions speak louder than words.

The Bronx Artist Documentary Project

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The book is available for purchase. City Islanders Mary Colby, Reina Mia Brill, Marguerite Chadwick-Juner and Ron Terner are all represented in this amazing book. Focal Point Gallery has your copy. See some of our great local artists who live and work in The Bronx.

Artistic Energy: The Bronx
A film by Matt Heckerling & Paul Lingas produced by Yes The Bronx
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLu2BROLPxg
(This is a 2-minute trailer for the Bronx Artist Documentary Project film)

In May 2014, Charlie Vasquez, director of the Bronx Writers Center, put out an invitation to Bronx

NYC Meltdown?

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A major radiation release in the area would be catastrophic to the entire NYC Tri-state region.

This is why public safety officials recently conducted preparedness exercises at the Indian Point Energy Center. During their exercises, people near the site saw simulated attack scenarios that were intended to be as realistic as possible.